Post by avikapoor2004 on Apr 21, 2006 2:27:12 GMT -4
This column was originally published on RealMoney on April 20 at 9:49 a.m. EDT. It's being republished as a bonus for TheStreet.com readers.
Looking for the bull markets? Let's just recount the strongest so you know where the hunting is best.
1. Gold, plain and simple. Cheapest: still Goldcorp (GG:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take). Most speculative with biggest payoff: Crystallex (KRY:Amex - news - research - Cramer's Take) -- yeah, it's in bed with Chavez, but he needs to put people to work and gold mines do it better than anyone else. Worst: Newmont (NEM:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take). It's running out of gold and seeing higher finding costs, but you know what? It's the worst house in a great neighborhood.
2. Minerals. Go for the supermarkets: BHP Billiton (BHP:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take) and Rio Tinto (RTP:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take). Those are still good. I have sold some BHP from Action Alerts PLUS, felt like a pig. Don't forget copper, where I just sold some Southern Copper (PCU:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take) 'cause I couldn't take the vertigo. I would get back in it down $10. Aluminum: Alcan (AL:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take). Nickel: Inco (N:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take). Don't outthink this stuff; go for the branded products. You can go down to Northgate (NXG:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take), but it is a stretch to me.
3. Aerospace and defense. Boeing (BA:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take) is still the lay-up. Textron (TXT:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take) -- nice quarter! -- General Dynamics (GD:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take), both superb. United Technologies (UTX:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take) still works higher because of these two bull markets. I also like AMR (AAR:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take), on the new FAA rules about inspections.
4. Oil service. I am not worried at all about the upcoming Schlumberger (SLB:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take) and Halliburton (HAL:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take) earnings and would own calls, deep in-the-money calls, on both. I just started buying Nabors (NBR:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take) and think it looks great even up here. An ancillary play: Stick with Valero (VLO:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take), because refining is good until we build another refinery.
5. Derivatives. Chicago Merc (CME:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take) and CBOT (BOT:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take) both still work higher, as do GFI Group (GFIG:Nasdaq - news - research - Cramer's Take), Goldman (GS:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take), Bear (BSC:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take) and Lehman (LEH:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take). Yeah, I know these are hard to understand, but you aren't paying much for them still. I think that Goldman goes to $225.
6. Fiber to the home. Conexant (CNXT:Nasdaq - news - research - Cramer's Take) remains my favorite, along with JDSU (JDSU:Nasdaq - news - research - Cramer's Take) and Finisar (FNSR:Nasdaq - news - research - Cramer's Take).
7. Rails. Any rails. I like Norfolk Southern (NSX:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take). But CSX (CSX:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take), Burlington (BNI:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take) and Union Pacific (UNP:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take) all work their way higher, because of ...
8. Coal! Peabody Energy (BTU:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take) has moved too much. I am wondering if the money doesn't go toward coal now.
9. Construction equipment -- mostly for BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India, China). Again, don't outthink it: Caterpillar (CAT:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take). But you can own Parker Hannifin (PH:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take), Eaton (ETN:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take), Cummins (CMI:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take), Paccar (PCAR:Nasdaq - news - research - Cramer's Take) and Terex (TEX:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take).
10. Infrastructure. People are overlooking this bull market. There are projects being let in the Middle East and East Asia that are the biggest ever. Think Fluor (FLR:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take), Foster Wheeler (FWLT:Nasdaq - news - research - Cramer's Take), Jacobs Engineering (JEC:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take) and McDermott (MDR:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take). My fave: Foster Wheeler!
Deviate from the list: Underperform. Overweight the list? Outperform.
Not much else to it.
Looking for the bull markets? Let's just recount the strongest so you know where the hunting is best.
1. Gold, plain and simple. Cheapest: still Goldcorp (GG:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take). Most speculative with biggest payoff: Crystallex (KRY:Amex - news - research - Cramer's Take) -- yeah, it's in bed with Chavez, but he needs to put people to work and gold mines do it better than anyone else. Worst: Newmont (NEM:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take). It's running out of gold and seeing higher finding costs, but you know what? It's the worst house in a great neighborhood.
2. Minerals. Go for the supermarkets: BHP Billiton (BHP:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take) and Rio Tinto (RTP:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take). Those are still good. I have sold some BHP from Action Alerts PLUS, felt like a pig. Don't forget copper, where I just sold some Southern Copper (PCU:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take) 'cause I couldn't take the vertigo. I would get back in it down $10. Aluminum: Alcan (AL:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take). Nickel: Inco (N:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take). Don't outthink this stuff; go for the branded products. You can go down to Northgate (NXG:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take), but it is a stretch to me.
3. Aerospace and defense. Boeing (BA:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take) is still the lay-up. Textron (TXT:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take) -- nice quarter! -- General Dynamics (GD:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take), both superb. United Technologies (UTX:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take) still works higher because of these two bull markets. I also like AMR (AAR:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take), on the new FAA rules about inspections.
4. Oil service. I am not worried at all about the upcoming Schlumberger (SLB:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take) and Halliburton (HAL:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take) earnings and would own calls, deep in-the-money calls, on both. I just started buying Nabors (NBR:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take) and think it looks great even up here. An ancillary play: Stick with Valero (VLO:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take), because refining is good until we build another refinery.
5. Derivatives. Chicago Merc (CME:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take) and CBOT (BOT:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take) both still work higher, as do GFI Group (GFIG:Nasdaq - news - research - Cramer's Take), Goldman (GS:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take), Bear (BSC:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take) and Lehman (LEH:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take). Yeah, I know these are hard to understand, but you aren't paying much for them still. I think that Goldman goes to $225.
6. Fiber to the home. Conexant (CNXT:Nasdaq - news - research - Cramer's Take) remains my favorite, along with JDSU (JDSU:Nasdaq - news - research - Cramer's Take) and Finisar (FNSR:Nasdaq - news - research - Cramer's Take).
7. Rails. Any rails. I like Norfolk Southern (NSX:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take). But CSX (CSX:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take), Burlington (BNI:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take) and Union Pacific (UNP:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take) all work their way higher, because of ...
8. Coal! Peabody Energy (BTU:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take) has moved too much. I am wondering if the money doesn't go toward coal now.
9. Construction equipment -- mostly for BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India, China). Again, don't outthink it: Caterpillar (CAT:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take). But you can own Parker Hannifin (PH:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take), Eaton (ETN:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take), Cummins (CMI:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take), Paccar (PCAR:Nasdaq - news - research - Cramer's Take) and Terex (TEX:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take).
10. Infrastructure. People are overlooking this bull market. There are projects being let in the Middle East and East Asia that are the biggest ever. Think Fluor (FLR:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take), Foster Wheeler (FWLT:Nasdaq - news - research - Cramer's Take), Jacobs Engineering (JEC:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take) and McDermott (MDR:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take). My fave: Foster Wheeler!
Deviate from the list: Underperform. Overweight the list? Outperform.
Not much else to it.